Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.001532 0.001628 0.001728 0.001838 0.001957 0.002082 0.002223
2025-02-02 0.001418 0.001557 0.001707 0.001881 0.002077 0.002292 0.002546
2025-02-09 0.001334 0.001502 0.001688 0.001911 0.002171 0.002467 0.002831
2025-02-16 0.001300 0.001495 0.001716 0.001989 0.002317 0.002702 0.003192
2025-02-23 0.001232 0.001441 0.001683 0.001988 0.002365 0.002819 0.003414
2025-03-02 0.001145 0.001358 0.001609 0.001931 0.002337 0.002837 0.003508
2025-03-09 0.001079 0.001295 0.001555 0.001893 0.002328 0.002874 0.003625
2025-03-16 0.001036 0.001258 0.001530 0.001889 0.002359 0.002963 0.003811
2025-03-23 0.000989 0.001214 0.001493 0.001867 0.002365 0.003015 0.003949
2025-03-30 0.000952 0.001180 0.001466 0.001856 0.002383 0.003083 0.004109
2025-04-06 0.000912 0.001140 0.001430 0.001830 0.002379 0.003121 0.004227
2025-04-13 0.000871 0.001099 0.001390 0.001797 0.002362 0.003138 0.004315
2025-04-20 0.000813 0.001034 0.001321 0.001725 0.002296 0.003091 0.004320
2025-04-27 0.000802 0.001033 0.001335 0.001770 0.002394 0.003285 0.004697
2025-05-04 0.000787 0.001023 0.001338 0.001799 0.002472 0.003452 0.005046
2025-05-11 0.000787 0.001036 0.001372 0.001871 0.002616 0.003726 0.005580
2025-05-18 0.000764 0.001014 0.001356 0.001871 0.002652 0.003836 0.005859
2025-05-25 0.000725 0.000969 0.001305 0.001817 0.002603 0.003812 0.005913
2025-06-01 0.000694 0.000934 0.001268 0.001782 0.002581 0.003827 0.006032
2025-06-08 0.000675 0.000915 0.001253 0.001779 0.002607 0.003920 0.006291
2025-06-15 0.000652 0.000890 0.001228 0.001758 0.002604 0.003966 0.006470
2025-06-22 0.000633 0.000870 0.001209 0.001748 0.002618 0.004038 0.006700
2025-06-29 0.000612 0.000846 0.001183 0.001724 0.002608 0.004070 0.006857